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The most interesting thing about change in the environment is that for the most part the environment isn't changing.
Kevin Kelly
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1 Comments
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The most certain thing you can say about the environment tomorrow is that it probably is going to be just like today, for the most part.
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The great advance of personal computers was not the computing power per se but the fact that it brought it right to your face, that you had control over it, that were confronted with it and could steer it.
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The current understanding was that it was impossible to predict how something would evolve because it was a very turbulent environment full of things interacting with each other.
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Species go extinct because there are historical contraints built into a given body or a given design.
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Organizations get invested into a particular product. And sometimes the best thing is to stop making that product, even though it's profitable, because it has optimized at a local peak.
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Organisms by their design are not made to adapt too far.
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One of the functions of an organization, of any organism, is to anticipate the future, so that those relationships can persist over time.
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Much of outcomes research is a systematic attempt to exploit what is known and make it better.
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Managing bottom-up change is its own art.
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Managers tend to treat organizations as if they are infinitely plastic. They hire and fire, merge, downsize, terminate programs, add capacities. But there are limits to the shifts that organizations can absorb.
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It's more along the lines of raising a child: we train the system to a certain range of behaviors that we find most useful. But then we let it go, because we don't want to have to be babysitting it the whole time.
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