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When people speak of creating superhumanly intelligent beings, they are usually imagining an AI project.
Vernor Vinge
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When I began writing science fiction in the middle '60s, it seemed very easy to find ideas that took decades to percolate into the cultural consciousness; now the lead time seems more like eighteen months.
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We humans have millions of years of evolutionary baggage that makes us regard competition in a deadly light.
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The work that is truly productive is the domain of a steadily smaller and more elite fraction of humanity.
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The problem is not simply that the Singularity represents the passing of humankind from center stage, but that it contradicts our most deeply held notions of being.
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The physical extinction of the human race is one possibility.
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The dilemma felt by science fiction writers will be perceived in other creative endeavors.
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Note that I am not proposing that AI research be ignored or less funded.
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It is a point where our old models must be discarded and a new reality rules.
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In fact, there was general agreement that minds can exist on nonbiological substrates and that algorithms are of central importance to the existence of minds.
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IA is something that is proceeding very naturally, in most cases not even recognized by its developers for what it is.
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I have argued above that we cannot prevent the Singularity, that its coming is an inevitable consequence of the humans' natural competitiveness and the possibilities inherent in technology.
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I argue in this paper that we are on the edge of change comparable to the rise of human life on Earth.
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